Tackling Solar Soft Costs From Every Angle

 

Tackling Solar Soft Costs From Every Angle

 

“If your plan involves Congress, it’s a bad plan.”

 

 

Herman K. Trabish: November 12, 2012

 

While module prices plummet, the soft (non-hardware) costs of installing solar systems remain a stubborn barrier to affordability. The difference between the U.S. $4.44 per watt average installed cost for a typical residential rooftop system and the $2.24 per watt figure for comparable German systems, GTM recently reported, is in soft costs like customer acquisition, permitting, inspection and interconnection.

MEMC (NYSE:WFR) CEO Ahmad Chatila noted recently that the paperwork for permitting in Germany requires two pages, while U.S. permitting can require two trees’ worth of paper.

Red tape is also the likely culprit responsible for putting average U.S. system installation time at 75 days versus 7.5 days in Germany.

A solar installer in one Southern California city can take a set of plans to the proper authority and get a permit to build within 48 hours, Paramount Solar VP and twelve-year solar industry veteran Todd Lindstrom recently said. But in a virtually indistinguishable city of the same size that is immediately adjacent, “If I get it done in under three weeks, it’s a miracle.”

NREL Solar Analyst Kristen Ardani and VoteSolar’s Adam Browning previewed a forthcoming U.S. soft cost update from NREL and LBNL researchers. The final data will be published by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) later this month. And DOE’s SunShot program opened a new $10 million competition in September for “innovative, sustainable, and verifiable business practices that reduce these soft costs to $1 per watt.”

GTM asked Ardani and Browning for their observations on the two main industry-wide efforts underway to attack the complexities of permitting, inspection and interconnection that have U.S. installers tangled up in red.

One approach, led by third-party-finance leader Clean Power Finance (CPF), would create a national permitting database. The other, the Solar Freedom Now (SFN) movement co-founded by industry pioneer Barry Cinnamon, would gather political momentum to drive Congress to standardize procedures at the federal level.

In its winning bid for a $3 million DOE grant to create an online database of local permitting standards, CPF estimated it could cut the balance-of-system (BOS) soft costs of installing a five-kilowatt (DC) residential rooftop solar system by more than $0.22 per watt.

“Getting a permit is the choke point in the process,” CPF CEO Nat Kreamer said, “[and it is] driving solar companies crazy today. It’s time-consuming, it’s costly and it makes for a bad end-consumer experience.”

“We have to solve this problem,” SFN’s Cinnamon, a 30-plus-year solar veteran who has done everything from rooftop installs to running Westinghouse Solar (PINK: WEST), said. “The way we are going to solve it is on the national level because 18,000 cities, 3,000 utilities, 50 states, you’re never going to fix it everywhere.”

There is, Cinnamon said, “a quicksand of stupid regulations and requirements and we need a policy standard to bring to lawmakers in Washington, D.C., which has two million people who want it.”

“Clean Power Finance has some great efforts under way with their permitting database that will disclose different requirements across jurisdictions,” Ardani said. “What we are hearing from installers is that something like a database, where you can go on and look at all the different requirements, could be a huge time-saving measure.”

Even knowing about increased paperwork could cut soft costs, she added. “Just deciphering and investigating what each jurisdiction is asking for is a huge time and cost expense.”

A database could also generate action from the bottom up that leads to more rationalized fee structures, Ardani suggested. “A lot of times what you see are fees that seem arbitrary. Why is this fee $300 and this fee $800?”

Browning’s VoteSolar group is planning to incorporate the CPF metrics on time, process, and cost into its own web tool that will allow installers “to click on a state and drill down to local jurisdictions.”

The website will be part of a VoteSolar effort to identify “best practices on eight different data points.” The objective, Browning said, is to get jurisdictions involved in setting “that gold standard of simplified and cost rational permitting.”

SFN’s drive for federal legislation should be pursued and could be successful, Browning said, but “given Congress’s complexity, and the fact that states and local jurisdictions fiercely guard their prerogative of local control, nobody should count on it.”

The good news, Browning said, “is there will be efforts from the top down and from the bottom up,” so the group says it “will get at it one way or the other.”

“The best thing,” Ardani said, “is to have best practices and drive toward them at the local jurisdiction level.”

“I wish we could get it done in one fell swoop at the federal level,” Browning said, “but our line around the office is, ‘If your plan involves Congress, it’s a bad plan.’”

 

SunShot Program: Your Tax Dollars at Work Growing Solar

 

DOE’s SunShot Initiative is subsidizing research so it can stop subsidizing solar energy generation.

 

Herman K. Trabish: April 23, 2012

 

The Department of Energy (DOE) SunShot Program has a specific goal: to move the cost of solar-energy-generated electricity to be competitive, without subsidies, with the cost of fossil-fuel-generated electricity by 2020. In service to that, it supports research in every dimension of both photovoltaic (PV) solar and concentrating solar power (CSP) along the entire gamut from basic to applied science. DOE calls SunShot “the Apollo Mission of our time.”

Because things in Washington, D.C. go down more easily when there are numbers attached, DOE Solar Technology Development Manager Joseph Stekli noted that the SunShot program designated an unsubsidized cost of six cents per kilowatt-hour as its target for solar power plants. That translates, according to the DOE, to $3.60 per watt for CSP systems with up to 14 hours of thermal energy storage (TES).

The specific goals for TES are a cost below $15 per kilowatt-hour, a round trip efficiency of 93 percent, and a heat-retaining efficiency of greater than 95 percent.

DOE is also targeting a heat transfer fluid, Stekli added, with a thermal stability of as high as 1,300 degrees C, a freezing below-zero degrees C, a heat capacity twice that of current solar cells and other characteristics similar to currently used molten salts.

Stekli and DOE SunShot PV Team Lead Lidija Sekaric talked about the SunShot program during the Smithers APEX solar summit in San Diego.

Sekaric reported the 2020 target is five cents per kilowatt-hour for PV, which represents approximately $1 per watt (for utility-scale PV, $1.25 for commercial rooftop PV and $1.50 for residential rooftop PV). That would be a 75 percent cost reduction from the cost at the program’s 2011 launch. And, driven by stiff competition from China, Sekaric reported, the Q4 2011 crystalline silicon module price was $1.03 per watt.

SunShot, Sekaric added, is also funding research aimed at bringing down balance-of-system (BOS) costs and rooftop solar “soft costs,” which include finding, financing and contracting with customers, streamlining the red tape associated with permitting, inspection and interconnection, and getting installation and performance monitoring done.

CSP is not coming along as fast, but SunShot-funded research is accruing momentum, Stekli reported. Many more proposals for research came in this year than the program has previously had. “I wish I could tell you more about them, but we haven’t announced them yet,” Stekli said. “Some significant projects will happen that will push CSP toward the six cents per kilowatt-hour goal.”

He did note that for FY 2012, 33 percent of funds went to research labs, 45 percent to industry, and 20 percent to universities. Research into solar power tower technology captured 40 percent of the funds, trough technology got 20 percent, and storage technologies got 30 percent.

There was, Stekli said, a shift of R&D funding between FY 2011 and FY 2012 from trough technology to tower technology, which “represents the state of the technologies.” Trough technology is now seen as essentially proven.

DOE also, Stekli added, funds cutting-edge programs through ARPA-E and loan guarantees. “There are five CSP plants under construction in the U.S. and all have received DOE loan guarantees,” he noted. “Almost $6 billion has been made available for these plants, which will total about 1.3 gigawatts of generating capacity. We’re very excited about these plants and cannot wait to see them come on-line.”

Recovery Act money went largely to ongoing facility improvements at DOE’s National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and Sandia National Laboratory. The balance went to research.

Asked what the solar industry can expect from DOE in 2013 and beyond, Stekli was politic. “Anyone’s guess is as good as mine,” he said. “The U.S. Senate hasn’t passed a budget in three years and I don’t have any anticipation they will pass a budget next year. We operate under what are called continuing resolutions. Generally, what they do is hold funding flat. It’s an election year. Maybe things change after the election. But we’re moving forward under the assumption our funding will be flat. Beyond next year is unknowable.”

Unlike Hurricane Sandy, Energy Policy Blackouts Threatening Germany Could Be Avoided

Unlike Hurricane Sandy, Energy Policy Blackouts Threatening Germany Could Be Avoided

Romina Boccia

November 2, 2012 at 5:30 pm

A blackout occurred in the wake of Hurricane Sandy, as more than 8 million people in the northeast were left without power. Millions could remain without power for several more days. Hurricane Sandy was a natural disaster that people could prepare for but couldn’t avoid.

Blackouts and brownouts caused by misguided energy policies, however, could be avoided. Micromanagement of the energy sector with renewable energy mandates, prohibitions, overly burdensome regulation, and subsidies are taking a heavy toll on people and on the electricity grid used to distribute power.

Germany, one of the most aggressive renewable energy adopters, is demonstrating the dark and cold path down which a government-centric approach to electricity supply leads. This winter, Germany is short 500 megawatts in electricity compared to the previous year.

Why the shortage? A premature shutdown of nuclear reactors and a slower than expected and government-directed energy transition toward renewable sources. The German government immediately shut down eight nuclear reactors in response to the Fukushima accident and determined to end all nuclear power generation in Germany by 2022.

Germany also adopted an aggressive 35 percent target of renewable energy by 2022. In the U.S., California has similar ambitions for renewables, having set a target of 33 percent by 2020.

The results of Germany’s policies are an unstable electricity grid that threatens to leave Germans in the dark and cold this winter. European grid operator Tennet reports that, during the last year, the electricity grid would have collapsed multiple times had only one more significant power plant or transmission cable become impaired. The rate of unusual measures to stabilize the grid—such as turning power plants off or taking wind farms off the grid—tripled last year, rising to 998 interventions.

Meanwhile, Vattenfall, another grid operator, is preparing for brownouts, asking large energy consumers how much electricity they could go without in the event it becomes necessary to take some users off the grid in order to avoid even worse results.

This is happening because federal policies are inhibiting electricity markets from responding to consumer demand. Government intervention is distorting prices and investment prospects in the electricity sector. Renewable energy subsidies are rendering conventional sources unprofitable, and yet the renewable sources alone cannot assure grid stability without conventional sources being available to meet electricity demand during times when the wind does not blow or the sun does not shine.

California’s ISO, which operates the region’s power grid, referred to similar challenges in integrating the state’s 33 percent renewable portfolio standard:

Among these challenges is ensuring that the ISO has sufficient flexible capacity to address the added variability and unpredictability created by intermittent resources.

Blackouts and brownouts come with huge costs. Industrialized economies such as Germany and the U.S. depend on reliable electricity to function. Hospitals need power to keep patients alive, and people freeze in their homes when electricity is their only source of heating. Electricity is the lifeblood of the economy, and without it few transactions can take place. It is mind-boggling to think that governments would impose these large risks on people for lofty policy goals.

Unlike natural disasters such as Hurricane Sandy, which caused blackouts across the American northeast, blackouts and brownouts as a result of short-sighted energy policies are avoidable. As Sandy relief efforts are underway, policymakers should look across the pond and avoid energy policies that put Americans at undue risk of power outages.

EPA to Raise Electricity Prices, Risk Blackouts

Romina Boccia

December 6, 2011 at 3:30 pm

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), seemingly undeterred by the slow economic recovery, is marching ahead with air pollution regulations that would increase electricity prices, raise costs for businesses and consumers, and risk power outages.

The EPA’s Cross-State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) and the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS) are scheduled to go into effect in January of 2012 and 2015, respectively. Other pending related regulations include the Boiler MACT and Utility MACT rules, coal ash regulations, and new standards for cooling water intake structures. All of these are expensive and put jobs at risk.

Earlier this summer, America’s largest utility explained that the EPA’s multipronged attack on traditional energy sources could cost Southern Co. up to $18 billion and increase electricity costs for Southern customers by an additional 10 percent to 20 percent during the next 10 years. Energy prices are expected to rise by several percentage points across the country. Higher electricity prices also mean higher prices for most goods and services.

Possible blackouts are another concern. Utilities announced that they would have to retire older coal plants in response to the regulations. But getting replacement electricity plants up and running can take several years and is subject to potential regulatory delays of many more years. In the meantime, an overloaded grid could be subject to blackouts.

A recent report by the U.S. Department of Energy fending off concerns that pending air pollution regulations pose risks to electricity reliability is far from settling the question of possible blackouts. Just a few days prior, the government-designated expert panel to ensure electricity reliability, the North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC), warned that the EPA’s proposed regulations pose one of the greatest risks to the electricity sector.

In addition to reliability issues from plant shutdowns, pending MATS create uncertainty. FromThe New York Times:

… about 600 large plants are likely to be shut for several months for the installation of pollution controls, executives said, and coordinating the shutdowns to avoid local electricity shortages will be a formidable task. Part of the uncertainty is that no one is sure how strictly the Environmental Protection Agency will enforce its rules or exactly what the rules will be. The agency is supposed to publish a new rule on mercury and air toxics on Dec. 16, for example.

These misguided regulations pose a further obstacle to the return of a strong and vibrant economy. Congress should roll back the EPA’s costly and risky attack on the American electricity sector.

Posted in Energy and EnvironmentGreen - Energy, the Environment and the Bottom Line

November 28, 2011, 5:04 PM 10 Comments

Will the Lights Stay On in Texas and New England?

By MATTHEW L. WALD
The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (yellow), ISO-NE of New England (teal) and SaskPower (in red) could face early challenges in providing enough generating capacity.North American Electric Reliability CorporationThe Electric Reliability Council of Texas (yellow), ISO-NE of New England (teal) and SaskPower (in red) could face early challenges in providing enough generating capacity.
Green: Living

Texas and New England may soon run short of the generating capacity they need to reliably meet peak loads, largely because old plants will be retired rather than retrofitted to meet new pollution rules, the North American Electric Reliability Corporation reported on Monday.

The reliability corporation, assigned by the federal government to enforce rules on the power grid, issued a 10-year forecast that conveys a greater level of uncertainty than previous predictions. One problem is that about 600 large plants are likely to be shut for several months for the installation of pollution controls, executives said, and coordinating the shutdowns to avoid local electricity shortages will be a formidable task. The 600 are a substantial fraction of the grid’s generating resources; although there are about 15,000 plants on the grid, more than half of them are quite small.

“Over all, the North American grid and bulk power supply continue to be adequate, and sufficient plans are in place,’’ said Gerry Cauley, president and chief executive. But two areas require extra attention, he said: the bulk of Texas, which is served by a grid isolated from the rest of the United States, and New England. “There’s some uncertainty in their resources at this point,’’ he said.

The Electric Reliability Council of Texas, the name for the grid that covers most of the state, could run short by 2013, the report said;New England could run short by 2015.

The organization, which also surveys Canada, found that Sask Power, the provincial utility of the province of Saskatchewan, which borders North Dakota and Montana, could run short next year.

Running short does not mean that the lights are certain to go out. But given the typical incidence of mechanical failures, the amount of spare capacity on hand is small enough that blackouts would be more likely, the report said.

The problem in Texas is old coal plants and natural gas plants that lack environmental controls, and the state’s relative isolation. (The rest of North America east of the Rockies is within one grid, while the region west of the Rockies is on another, with some ability for neighboring areas to help each other at peak times. Texas, however, has taken a go-it-alone approach.)

In New England, which is far better connected to neighboring areas, the problem is old natural gas plants, the group said.

Environmentalists are building a case that there is no reason to proceed slowly in enforcing the new rules because most companies are prepared for them. Michael J. Bradley, a former head of the Northeast States for Coordinated Regional Air Management, a regional organization, and Susan F. Tierney, a former energy official in Massachusetts who worked for the Energy Department during the Clinton Administration, are among the authors of a recent reportthat contends that reserve margins are still ample and that many new power plants are in development.

In addition, they note, “demand-side resources,” meaning agreements with customers to cut their load on peak days in exchange for cash, can be activated quickly.

Part of the uncertainty is that no one is sure how strictly the Environmental Protection Agency will enforce its rules or exactly what the rules will be. The agency is supposed to publish a new rule on mercury and air toxics on Dec. 16, for example.

Mark G. Lauby, vice president of the reliability corporation, said that because the air toxics standards rule will be on a short schedule, some companies could face a choice of closing some units or running them and violating pollution standards. The logical solution, he said, would be to provide more time for compliance.

But the most troublesome of the new rules for the power plants may be related not to air pollution but to water, as the E.P.A. seeks to have power plants install cooling towers, rather than draw vast amounts of water from rivers and return it a few degrees hotter, which can kill many fish or fish eggs. Texas may also face problems because of its severe drought, the group said.

Texas has added a lot of capacity recently, but much of that is wind power, which generally does not churn out much electricity on the hot days when peak demand occurs. Acting partly out of an awareness that added capacity contributes little to reliability, Texas recently raised its target level of capacity surplus to 13.75 percent from 12.5 percent.

U.S. Solar Energy Jobs Increase by More Than 13%

U.S. Solar Energy Jobs Increase by More Than 13%

Nov. 2, 2012 10:25am

he Solar Energy Industries Association in early November highlighted initial findings from The Solar Foundation’s third annual National Solar Jobs Census showing that solar energy jobs have experienced strong growth in the U.S. over the past year, despite global economic challenges.

WASHINGTON DC – The Solar Energy Industries Association in early November highlighted initial findings from The Solar Foundation’s third annual National Solar Jobs Census showing that solar energy jobs have experienced strong growth in the U.S. over the past year, despite global economic challenges. The full National Solar Jobs Census 2012, with analysis of employment trends across the entire solar industry is scheduled for release on Nov. 14, 2012 by TSF, a nonprofit research institution located in Washington, D.C. Initial results from the 2012 census found that the solar industry now employs 119,016 Americans across all 50 states, having grown 13.2% over last year during difficult economic times across the nation. In 2011, the solar energy industry employed 105,145 workers, while 93,502 were employed by solar companies in 2010.

Census participants named strong federal solar policy, such as the solar investment tax credit, as one of the most important factors driving growth of solar jobs over the past 12 months. Additionally, one-third of respondents cited the continued decline in solar energy prices as the primary driver of employment growth. State pro-solar policies, including renewable portfolio standards, and the popularity of new third-party system ownership models were other factors creating jobs.

“The solar energy industry is creating jobs in America when we need them most,” said Rhone Resch, president and CEO of SEIA. “The rapid growth of jobs in the solar industry clearly demonstrates that smart policies, including the federal investment tax credit, are putting Americans back to work. In addition to jobs, these policies are driving down the cost of solar and providing a clean, reliable energy choice for millions of homeowners and businesses.”

“This is what happens when government provides a stable policy environment – the private industry does what it does best – creates new jobs for Americans,” Resch added.

According to the 2012 census, solar job growth easily outpaced that of the overall U.S. economy, which expanded by 2.3% (according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics) during the same period. In total, the U.S. today has 5,700 megawatts of installed solar energy capacity, enough to power more than 940,000 households. The industry expects to nearly double its growth over last year, adding 3.2 gigawatts of solar power online by the end of the year and another 3.9 gigawatts during 2013.

“The solar industry has grown at significantly higher rates than most other industries in the past several years, making it one of the foremost creators of new jobs in the United States,” said Andrea Luecke, TSF Executive Director. “Our census findings indicate that these new jobs are highly skilled in nature, including solar installation, sales, marketing and software development. These new solar industry jobs are sustainable, cannot be outsourced and play a critical role in our country’s economic recovery.”

The Solar Foundation and BW Research, with technical assistance from Cornell University, used an improved version of SEIA’s National Solar Database and additional data sources to refine the methods used in the census and to reach more employers. As a result, the previously reported solar employment figure for 2011 was revised upwards from 100,237 to 105,145. As in past years, the survey examined employment along the solar value chain, including installation, wholesale trade, manufacturing, utilities, and all other fields and includes growth rates and job numbers for 31 separate occupations. The figures in the report were derived from data collected from more than 1,000 solar company survey respondents, yielding a low overall margin of error of +/-1.5%.

The jobs numbers were a preview of the full National Solar Jobs Census 2012 to be released on Nov. 14, 2012, by The Solar Foundation. The National Solar Jobs Census 2012 was conducted by The Solar Foundation and BW Research with technical assistance from Cornell University.

Silicone-Based Solar Panels

Silicone improves the efficiency, durability, and performance of solar panels and photovoltaic devices, making them more cost-effective.

While solar cells are made of silicon, silicones are used during module assembly, and installation as encapsulants, coatings, potting agents, adhesives, and sealants.

Because they can withstand the sun’s unrelenting rays for year after year, silicones are ideal materials for solar panel and photovoltaic (PV) applications.

Anatomy of a solar panel

Solar energy basics

Are you curious about how solar cells and solar panels work? Download these informative fact sheets …

Why silicone materials excel in solar applications

  1. Silicones are renowned for their UV stability and moisture resistance.
  2. Silicones are durable and solar radiation resistant.
  3. Silicones have excellent electrical insulating properties – excellent dielectric strength and high volume resistivity.
  4. Silicones have low ionic impuritieslow moisture absorption, and low dielectric constant.
  5. Silicone encapsulants perform over a wide operating temperature range – from -40 to 150°C (-40 to 302°F).
  6. Silicones are optically transparent over a wide spectrum.
  7. Silicones offer excellent adhesion to glass and photovoltaic cell substrates.
  8. Optical, mechanical, and thermal properties can be varied to meet requirements of specific photovoltaic applications.
  • Silicone elastomers and gels can be formulated with low modulus, giving them excellent stress relief capabilities.
  • Silicone resins can be formulated with high modulus to provide durable protection and abrasion resistance.

 

Sandy power outages could last another 10 days; new winter storm builds;Market for Smart Grid Renewable Energy Integration

Sandy power outages could last another 10 days; new winter storm builds

MSNBC’s Richard Lui reports on the massive fuel outages following Hurricane Sandy.

By Miguel Llanos, NBC News

Hundreds of thousands of people in New York City, Long Island and New Jersey may not have power restored for up to 10 more days, officials warned Thursday. Meanwhile, weather forecasters said a winter storm could hit the Northeast next week.

In New York City,  the utility ConEd said the 228,000 customers in Manhattan still without power should have it back by Saturday, but that would leave more than 400,000 elsewhere potentially in the dark beyond Saturday.

In a statement Thursday, ConEd said it hoped the vast majority of those would have power by Nov. 11.

 The areas taking the longest, spokeswoman Sara Banda told NBCNews.com, are those with overhead lines. “It’s taking a bit longer,” she said, noting that crews have had to deal with 100,000 downed lines.

As for the potential for a new storm, Banda said ConEd has a team dealing with weather scenarios. “We’re going to have to take that into account,” she said.

ConEd also noted that many buildings in areas with restored service will continue to be without power until they repair any flood damage to their own electrical systems. Millions remains without power, and in some places it could be weeks before the power goes back on. NBC’s Brian Williams reports.

Related: Nor’easter possible for East Coast next week

Temperatures this weekend in the New York City area were expected to dip to the mid-30s, and hover around 40 during the week.

The outage outlook was similar along the Jersey coast as well as on Long Island, where 60 percent of homes were without power.

The region also struggled with transit on Thursday, three days after Superstorm Sandy tore through.

The promise of limited restoration of transit services lured hundreds of thousands back into the nation’s largest city, but the commute was nightmarish even by New York City’s standards: Seemingly endless lines at bus stops, backups at the city’s bridges and tunnels stretched for miles, and many people simply gave up after an hour or two of frustration.

Jason DeCrow / AP

Motorists sit in heavy traffic while crossing the Robert F. Kennedy Triboro Bridge Thursday in the Queens borough of New York.

The scene was “pure mayhem,” Lanisha Harris, who was trying to get to work in Manhattan from Canarsie, Brooklyn, told NBCNewYork.com.

The order that all vehicles entering Manhattan must have at least three occupants appeared to cut down on traffic in the city, but enforcement of the directive caused problems elsewhere.

At the approach to the Lincoln Tunnel, traffic from New Jersey was restricted to a single lane and cars with fewer than three people were being diverted, causing a backup that jammed the state’s northern highways.

“Safety is our paramount concern, not convenience,” Mayor Michael Bloomberg said Thursday in defending his order.

Mayor Michael Bloomberg addresses issues with commuter congestion in Manhattan, as public transportation remains crippled, and warns New Yorkers that certain parts of the city may remain in the dark through next week.

In downtown Brooklyn, ”easily a thousand people, possibly more” were in line at the Barclay’s Center Thursday morning waiting for public buses, NBC 4 New York reporter Kai Simonsen said from his helicopter viewpoint.

That led some people to try to hitchhike their way into Manhattan, with drivers eager to pick them up to make the three-person-per-car quota.

“Some folks offered me a ride,” said Melanie Bower, 30, who lives in Fort Greene. “I was touched by their kindness at first. But then I realized they just needed me so they could have three in their car.”

Bower walked into Manhattan instead, and then caught a bus uptown.

Related: Photoblog of the commuter chaos

Wednesday evening’s commute out of the city was bad as well, leading Gov. Andrew Cuomo to declare that subway, bus and commuter rail services would be free Thursday and Friday.

TODAY’s Natalie Morales reports from Hoboken, N.J., where chilling new images capture communities utterly destroyed; meanwhile, thousands still remain trapped in the region without water, power or heat.

After suffering the worst disaster in its 108-year-old history, subway services resumed at 6 a.m. ET Thursday on more than a dozen lines, supplemented by three bus shuttles.

“There will be no subway service between 34th St. in Midtown and Downtown Brooklyn,” the MTA website said.

Across the city, the scene remained chaotic:

  • LaGuardia Airport reopened but several hundred flights at the region’s airports were canceled Thursday.
  • Taxi companies pulled vehicles off the road as the fuel crunch deepened, with the vast majority of storm-hit gas stations in the greater New York area out of gasoline or power to run pumps. Open stations have lines with several hundred cars as well as individuals toting jugs to refuel generators.
  • Downtown Manhattan was filthy – from fish guts flowing down a street to untreated sewage in the Hudson River.
  • Two brothers were found dead Thursday on Staten Island, where 19 deaths have been reported.
  • Liberty and Ellis islands sustained serious damage, a source at the National Park Service told NBCNewYork.com. ”The infrastructure is shot,” the source said, adding that the docks and grounds were in “bad shape.” While the Statue of Liberty and the museum at its base were OK, the source said, it would likely be “quite a while” before the islands reopen.

In Jersey City, across the Hudson River from New York, drivers negotiated intersections without the aid of traffic lights. Lines formed outside pharmacies, while people piled sodden mattresses and furniture on sidewalks. The city has issued a curfew on people as well as a driving ban from 7 p.m. to 7 a.m.

But what if more switched to Solar;

Market for Smart Grid Renewable Energy Integration to Reach $13 Billion by 2018, Forecasts Pike Rese

By Business Wirevia The Motley Fool

Posted 5:20AM 10/30/12Posted under: Investing

Market for Smart Grid Renewable Energy Integration to Reach $13 Billion by 2018, Forecasts Pike Research

BOULDER, Colo.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– The smart grid movement encompasses a range of technologies that will help utilities and grid operators integrate renewable energy assets, including microgrids, dynamic pricing systems, advanced energy storage, and virtual power plants (VPPs). Millions of dollars are being invested in the ability of the smart grid to lower the costs of integrating renewable generation at the transmission, distribution, and residential levels of energy service provision. To date the success rate of these efforts has been mixed, but according to a new report from Pike Research, a part of Navigant’s Energy Practice, the market for smart grid technologies that help integrate renewable energy sources will expand steadily over the next six years. Revenue from smart grid renewables integration will grow from $3.8 billion in 2012 to just under $13 billion in 2018, the study concludes.

“For all the talk of the challenges of bringing increasing amounts of distributed, renewable energy sources onto the power grid, in reality there is no consensus on the exact effects of renewables integration on grid operations,” says senior research analyst Peter Asmus. “What we do know is that the fundamental architecture of today’s electricity grid – based on the idea of a top-down system predicated on unidirectional energy flows – is becoming obsolete, and is unsuited for the increasing diversity and variability of power generation. Microgrids, VPPs, and other smart grid technologies represent the vanguard of a new business model that echoes, in many ways, the diversity and modularity of our rich telecommunications networks.”
The time horizons for widespread commercialization of these technologies vary widely, according to the report. Demand response, for example, has been offered in some forms by utilities and grid operators for many decades, while clear business models for advanced energy storage have yet to be demonstrated. While larger investments are flowing toward renewables integration at the transmission-level of power service, most of these technologies, such as high-voltage direct current lines, do not qualify as “smart grid.” Today, distribution level smart grid technologies such as microgrids clearly lead this market.

Pike Research’s report, “Smart Grid Renewables Integration”, examines current thinking and practices with regard to a series of smart grid technologies, policies, and applications designed to help integrate large penetration levels of renewable energy into power systems around the world. The study provides market capacity and revenue forecasts for the following technologies: static VAR compensators; synchrophasors; transmission, distribution and residential advanced energy storage systems; demand response; virtual power plants and microgrids. Key industry players are profiled, including SWOT analysis of their market positions, and regional market forecasts for each key segment extend through 2018. An Executive Summary of the report is available for free download on the Pike Research website.

About Pike Research

Pike Research, which joined Navigant’s global Energy Practice on July 1, 2012, provides in-depth analysis of global clean technology markets. The team’s research methodology combines supply-side industry analysis, end-user primary research and demand assessment, and deep examination of technology trends to provide a comprehensive view of the Smart Energy, Smart Grid, Smart Transportation, Smart Industry, and Smart Buildings sectors. Additional information about Pike Research can be found atwww.navigant.com/pikeresearch.

About Navigant

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* The information contained in this press release concerning the report, “Smart Grid Renewables Integration,” is a summary and reflects Pike Research’s current expectations based on market data and trend analysis. Market predictions and expectations are inherently uncertain and actual results may differ materially from those contained in this press release or the report. Please refer to the full report for a complete understanding of the assumptions underlying the report’s conclusions and the methodologies used to create the report. Neither Pike Research nor Navigant undertakes any obligation to update any of the information contained in this press release or the report.

 

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Beat energy price rises with free hot water

Beat energy price rises with free hot water

2:00pm Saturday 20th October 2012 in Lifestyle

An example of a thermodynamic solar panel system on a house roof.An example of a thermodynamic solar panel system on a house roof.

With the UK’s largest energy supplier confirming that it will increase its domestic gas and electricity prices by an average of 6 per cent in four weeks’ time, householders should be taking advantage of new technology to offset that rise says a Stourbridge expert.

Colin Priest, who said the British Gas price hike would add an extra £80 for the average dual fuel user from November 16, advised residents to look at the ever-improving green energy options.
He cited the thermodynamic solar panel system as an example, as it will provide 100 per cent of a home’s hot water and central heating whatever the weather conditions for free, once the system has been installed and paid for.

British Gas Managing Director, Phil Bentley, admitted that household budgets were under pressure and this rise would be unwelcome.
But he added: “However, we simply cannot ignore the rising costs that are largely outside our control, but which make up most of the bill.
“Britain’s North Sea gas supplies are running out, and British Gas has to pay the going rate for gas in a competitive global marketplace. Furthermore, the investment needed to maintain and upgrade the national grid to deliver energy to our customers’ homes, and the costs of the Government’s policies for a clean, energy efficient Britain are all going up.”

He concluded: “We need an energy efficient culture in Britain today; rising prices don’t have to mean rising bills.”
Colin, who lives in Quarry Bank and works for Noreus Ltd, agreed, but he said householders needed to take action.
He said traditional solar thermal panels work on south-facing roofs and only when there is sunlight. They provide 50-70 per cent of hot water, do not assist central heating and have to be supported by a boiler in winter.

The new thermodynamic solar panel system, which can be put on any part of the roof or wall provides 100 per cent energy all the year round, day and night in rain, wind and snow, and will even heat your swimming pool.
He said the thermodynamic solar system uses ‘reverse refrigeration technology’ with glycol, a harmless non-toxic gas, the same as in domestic fridges.
The refrigerated liquid is changed into a gas in the aluminium panels which then passes into the thermal block compressing the gas at the same time as heating and moving it to a thermal exchanger in the tank where it heats the water.
The cooled refrigerated gas returns to the panel for the process to be repeated.
Although these thermodynamic panels are new to Britain, they have been in operation in Europe for the last 20 years.
“As an example,” said Colin, “a total of 36 McDonald restaurants in Spain have installed this system.”
He added that another way to cut bills would be to spray foam your loft with the Icynene Insulation System which retains heat in the home for much longer and literally stops heat going up through the roof, saving up to £600 a year every year.

Easier Distributed Interconnect Emerges in California

Easier Distributed Interconnect Emerges in California

By Marsha W. Johnston, Contributor 
September 21, 2012

New Hampshire, USA – The California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) last week handed developers of mid-sized, wholesale renewable energy systems, primarily solar, an important revision to its interconnection procedures, known as Rule 21.

The unanimously approved revision, say stakeholder participants in the year-long process, establishes several new national best practices, and removes barriers to continued growth of the state’s renewable energy market.

The new Rule 21 is, in effect, a settlement between California’s three major investor-owned utilities — Pacific Gas & Electric, Southern California Edison and San Diego Gas & Electric Company — and 11 other stakeholders, including the Clean Coalition and Interstate Renewable Energy Council, Inc. (IREC).

“It is, by far and hands down, the best interconnection tariff in the country,” says IREC attorney Sky Stanfield of Keyes, Fox & Wiedman, who helped draft portions of the revised tariff language with her colleague Kevin Fox.  “We made it clearer in almost every way, adding timeframes and explanations of what’s happening. We came to fast track screens, made a more robust Supplemental Review, and it is the first tariff where utilities have accepted 100% minimum load as the standard for determining whether a full study is required.”

Under the previous Rule 21 procedures, Stanfield explains, the utilities made all renewable energy projects that represented 30 percent of the minimum load (or 15% of peak load) in their geographic area go to full study.

Now, she says, projects with a 30% minimum/15% peak load can get Fast Track approval through a quick, initial review. “If they fail the 15 percent screen, they will go to Supplemental Review, which used to be totally unclear,” she continues.  “It didn’t explain what it would study or what it would cost. Previously, not a lot of projects could get through that process and there was no pressure on the utility to get projects through Supplemental Review.”

In the new Supplemental Review, projects that are below 100% of minimum load and pass two screens on safety and reliability can still get Fast Track approval, she said.  The adoption of the higher penetration screen is significant for solar projects because it is more relevant than the 15 percent of peak load screen.  “We were getting more and more systems in California, and many systems were failing the 15% screen, so we had to move the bar up,” she says.

Ted Ko, associate director of stakeholder Clean Coalition, says critically important issues of cost allocation and certainty remain to be resolved, but, acknowledges that it is the best revision possible in the given time frame. “We were pushing to get it done really fast. We did get more transparency, more definition, more timelines, and better clarification of the rules,” he said.  One of the most useful wins, he said, is the Pre-Application Report.  “Now you can get a report from the utility telling you how much it will cost to plug in to a location before you even apply. It cuts down on the number of non-viable apps the utilities have to deal with,” he said.

Rule 21’s interconnection procedures had become untenable following the passage of two landmark pieces of renewable energy legislation–California Senate Bill 32 on curtailing greenhouse gas emissions and Assembly Bill 1613 on connecting combined heat & power systems to the grid. “The driving reason we had to move forward was SB32, which expands the feed-in tariff program that requires expedited procedures, and no path was available under Rule 21, because they were wholesale systems,” says Stanfield.

Indeed, says Ko, those bills specifically targeted the market for wholesale distributed generation systems trying to connect to the grid and sell to the utilities.  “SB32 said that systems up to 3 MW, we have to get them into the grid quickly, not just leave them hanging,” he said. “There has been a spike in interconnections of this type in the last 3-4 years; it has jumped by factor of 10. SCE has hundreds of megawatts of solar waiting to connect.” See the chart below.

Saying it supports the CPUC’s decision, SCE said, “The Rule 21 Settlement will benefit renewable developers and increase the eligibility limit for Fast Track evaluation to 3 MW from 2 MW. The revised tariff should also improve the efficiency of the interconnection process by replacing the one-at-a-time study process with a group study process and by adding deadlines that apply to both generators and SCE.”

Rule 21

Electric Rule 21 is a tariff that describes the interconnection, operating and metering requirements for generation facilities to be connected to a utility’s distribution system, over which the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) has jurisdiction.  The Rule 21 tariff for each of California’s large investor owned utilities (IOUs) is available on each IOU’s website. Note that the posted Rule 21 may not reflect updates to the tariff that may be pending before the CPUC:

The Clean Coalition is making clean local energy accessible now.

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Here Comes the Sunstorm Electric Grid Is Vulnerable to a Big Solar Blow; Officials Spar Over What to Do

Here Comes the Sunstorm

Electric Grid Is Vulnerable to a Big Solar Blow; Officials Spar Over What to Do

By RYAN TRACY

 

[0514flare02jpg] ReutersU.S. electricity regulators are studying the impact of historic sunstorms. Pictured, a NASA handout image of the sun.

With a peak in the cycle of solar flares approaching, U.S. electricity regulators are weighing their options for protecting the nation’s grid from the sun’s eruptions—including new equipment standards and retrofits—while keeping a lid on the cost.

They are studying the impact of historic sunstorms as far back as 1859 to see if the system needs an upgrade, and encountering a clash of views on how serious the threat is and what should be done about it.

Among the events they are examining is the Canadian power outage of 1989. On March 13 of that year, five major electricity-transmission lines in Quebec went on the fritz. Less than two minutes later, much of the province was in the dark. The cause: A storm of charged particles from the sun had showered Earth, damaging electrical gear as far away as New Jersey and bringing displays of the aurora borealis, or northern lights, as far south as Texas and Florida.

NASA, Associated Press, Istock

The sun is expected to hit a peak eruption period in 2013, and while superstorms don’t always occur in peak periods, some warn of a disaster. John Kappenman, a consultant and former power engineer who has spent decades researching the storms, says the modern power grid isn’t hardened for the worst nature has to offer. He says an extreme storm could cause blackouts lasting weeks or months, leaving major cities temporarily uninhabitable and taking a massive economic toll.

“This is arguably the largest natural-disaster scenario that the nation could face,” said Mr. Kappenman.

Mr. Kappenman has consulted for companies that make equipment to harden the grid.

Others are more cautious in their predictions. “We need to carry out more detailed and more rigorous analysis before we know for sure,” said Antti Pulkkinen, a physicist with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, who is using supercomputers to build models of potential future solar storms based on data that have accumulated for decades.

Most in the industry say that they don’t think the consequences would be so severe but that a lesser event is conceivable and worth preparing for.

In February, North American Electric Reliability Corp., a government-chartered entity that enforces national standards for the grid, said the likeliest consequence of a strong geomagnetic storm would be blackouts in the affected areas. The storms tend to have a greater impact in northern latitudes, in part because of the nature of Earth’s magnetic field. The report said most transformers would stay online, so a blackout would likely last only hours or days.

Officials of American Electric Power Co., AEP +0.73%the largest operator of transmission lines in the U.S., and Exelon Corp., EXC -0.20%one of the nation’s largest power generators, have told regulators they are collecting data on what happens during solar storms to assess weak points. “We tend to know what is vulnerable, and we are acting on it,” said Michael Heyeck, AEP’s senior vice president for transmission.

In a solar storm, charged particles flare from the sun and hurtle into space. When they collide with Earth, the electricity-transmission system acts like a jumbo antenna, picking up currents created when the particles interact with the planet’s magnetic field. Those currents can cause wild voltage fluctuations, overheating and permanent damage to transformers, which zip electricity around the grid. The transformers weigh hundreds of tons each and aren’t easily repaired or replaced.

Regulators have known about the threat of sunstorms for years but have only recently begun to coordinate disparate efforts to study the problem and formulate a response. Sunstorms can also force airlines to reroute flights and can disrupt the operation of commercial satellites and interfere with or damage their power and navigation systems. Military and spy satellites typically are less vulnerable.

The 1989 Quebec storm didn’t cause widespread transformer damage and the outage ended after nine hours. But the two biggest solar storms in recorded history took place in 1859 and 1921, before the development of the modern electricity grid.

Over several days in August and September 1859, observations of the northern lights were reported as far south as Panama and Cuba, according to historical accounts cited in a 2008 report from the National Academy of Sciences. One article from the time in the Rocky Mountain News said a group of campers in the mountains saw a light so bright that “some of the party insisted it was daylight and began the preparation of breakfast,” even though it was just after midnight.

The 1921 storm, which took place in May, produced similarly large displays and caused widespread problems in the national telegraph system, disrupting service from the Atlantic coast to the Mississippi River. By Mr. Kappenman’s reckoning, those events were as much as 10 times as powerful as the 1989 storm.

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, which oversees the grid, has begun to look into possible new rules. Chairman Jon Wellinghoff said the four-member commission might require upgrades if it found “the threat was high and the cost was low.” Regulators could require the industry to install blocking devices on transformers, for example, or raise the construction standards for high-voltage gear. Or they might take less intrusive action, like ordering more monitoring devices and additional threat assessment. An April 30 conference organized by the commission saw vigorous debate on how quickly the grid needs upgrading.

“We already know that the danger to society is great enough to warrant taking immediate action,” said Peter Vincent Pry, executive director of the Task Force on National and Homeland Security, a group that members of Congress designated to track electrical-grid risks and that supports Mr. Kappenman’s conclusions. By Mr. Pry’s math, it would cost about $200 million to install blocking devices on existing transformers that serve the 100 largest U.S. cities.

Others disagree. Frank Koza of PJM Interconnection, which coordinates electricity transmission in 13 states, said the cost could rise to hundreds of millions of dollars if transformers had to be replaced. But at the moment, he said, “no one can provide sufficient evidence that an immediate large-scale investment by the assets owner and government would adequately address the risk.”

Mr. Heyeck of American Electric Power said customers will want that evidence before seeing their electricity bills rise.

“We’ve got to recognize that someone out there is paying for all this,” he said.

Write to Ryan Tracy at ryan.tracy@wsj.com

After struggle, Ohio has shown growth in solar energy in the past year

After struggle, Ohio has shown growth in solar energy in the past year

6:56 AM, Sep 8, 2012   

On sunny days, if you stare long enough at Brian McCoy’s power meter you can see it slowly turning backward.

McCoy, who lives in rural southeastern Ohio, boasts that his 8-panel solar array will pay for itself in three years through savings on his electric bill. It also buys him entrance into a unique market, one that is intended to incentivize development of renewable resources in Ohio.

Last year, American Electric Power was compelled to purchase what are called Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) representing 6,513 megawatts from Ohio-based producers of solar energy like McCoy. Each REC is the equivalent of 1 megawatt of produced renewable energy.

The purchase was required by a 2008 state law passed with bipartisan support that directs Ohio electricity suppliers to generate a minimum of 12.5 percent of their power from renewable energy by 2024. This year, 1.5 percent of all electricity must come from renewables, a definition that includes wind, biomass and other carbon neutral technologies. At least .06 percent of the 2012 electricity must come from the sun.

The purpose was to promote green energy, which supporters say leads to cleaner air and new jobs. Detractors note that when regulated utilities like AEP or FirstEnergy are forced to buy a more expensive fuel that cost is passed onto their customers.

Reports made to the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio show that in the first two years some companies struggled to meet certain benchmarks, most notably the requirement that half the solar purchased must come from within the state. Companies met that threshold in 2011, but it’s unclear when, or if, they’ll ever exceed them because of intense competition from Pennsylvania solar producers who can offer their RECs to Ohio utilities at a lower cost.

Ohio has seen tremendous growth in solar energy in the past year or so, according to Brian Kaiser, director of green jobs and innovation at the Ohio Environmental Council.

But there is nothing forcing utilities to build their own solar farms, only to supply energy gleaned from the sun. The market for RECs is such that utilities that don’t want to build their own solar facilities can satisfy the bare minimum domestic requirement and then look out-of-state for the rest at a lower price, Kaiser said.

“The only way that dynamic reverses is if the technology in Ohio is cheaper than it is in neighboring states,” Kaiser said.

A big step toward that could come for AEP if its proposed Turning Point solar array, a 49.9-megawatt facility to be located about 20 miles southeast of Zanesville, is approved by the utilities commission. Turning Point would be the biggest solar farm east of the Mississippi.

Akron-based FirstEnergy, parent company of Ohio Edison and rival of AEP, has opposed the project, arguing that it is not needed. The application has been pending for nearly 30 months. Last week, the commission sent out notices to both sides asking them to define what “need” means by the beginning of October.

In contrast to Turning Point, much of the existing solar generation done in Ohio is at a very small scale.

There are 817 licensed solar generation facilities in Ohio, but only 304 produce enough energy to power 10 or more average homes. In Pennsylvania, there are nearly 1,500 such facilities and they are all registered to sell solar energy to Ohio utilities.

Because of this, after the in-state benchmark is met the value of Ohio-based solar certificates tank.

Generation from McCoy’s backyard solar array in Washington County earns energy certificates that can be sold to utility companies who are looking to meet those energy mandates. After 16 months of operation, McCoy’s array has generated one megawatt, which is equal to one certificate, that he says he could sell to AEP in the spring.

In the meantime, he’s listed the certificate for sale on regional grid operator PJM’s website for $275.

McCoy’s had no bites yet, and it could be a while, says fellow small-time solar seller Scott Hammond.

Hammond, whose system produces nearly a megawatt a month, said he’s gotten no response for his five certificates, which he priced at $100 each.

“I think I procrastinated too long,” the Washington Court House man said. “They’re pretty much worthless now, or almost worthless anyway.”

There’s market pressures from both sides. Utilities can be fined $350 for every certificate of solar they fall short this year, but that drops to $300 in 2014 and another $50 every two years after that.

Obviously, utilities aren’t going to pay more than the penalty and the flood of certificates from Pennsylvania pushes that price farther down once the domestic-production threshold is met. The average listed price of Pennsylvania solar certificates on the PJM bulletin board was $135.

razimmer@centralohio.com
740-328-8830
Twitter: @RussZimmer

Jobs vs. green energy debate splits Dems at Michigan convention

                               The question weather state’s or the government should still help Green Energy is going to get harder and harder as the US budget issues comes to a head next year in congress. The Oil and gas energy industry sector has enjoyed government subsidies for some time now, 20 plus years. Green Energy has been under a different program of support do to the RD and then further manufacturing development required to get each of the varies different types of Green Energy industrialized. The good news that has happened and as well has producing a lot of of green jobs, now for the evolution of Green Energy becoming a real long term answer to our energy needs will be up to (us) pushing our local representatives to support the Green Energy. We will keep your eyes on this issue, Renewable Energy should a major part of the US energy plan!

Eric Luttio

Jobs vs. green energy debate splits Dems at Michigan convention

  • By Chad Livengood
  • Detroit News Lansing Bureau

Lansing — A November ballot proposal seeking a 25 percent renewable energy mandate in the state constitution is creating political tension in the Michigan Democratic Party between the party’s goals of protecting the environment and protecting union jobs.

Delegates attending this weekend’s state convention in Lansing will vote Sunday on whether to include an endorsement of the “25 by 2025″ November ballot initiative in the party’s platform. Earlier this week, the platform committee endorsed the clean energy initiative.

Construction trade unions, whose members work for utility companies, are working behind the scenes to get the endorsement removed from the platform, arguing it could lead to loss of jobs at coal power plants that generate electricity for Consumers Energy and DTE Energy customers.

“We’re not against going green … we just think we need to do it responsibly,” said Steve VanSlooten, executive vice president of the Utility Workers Union of America.

Michigan Energy Michigan Jobs, the group seeking voter approval of Proposal 3, cites studies that claim a 25 percent renewable energy mandate could generate $10 billion in investment, create 74,000 jobs and greatly reduce the $1.7 billion that’s spent annually importing fossil fuel from coal-mining states.

“We hope the Democratic delegates will reject any attempt by big utility companies to bully or strong arm our party into reversing its position,” said Mark Fisk, a Democratic political consultant running the Michigan Energy Michigan Jobs campaign.

A 2008 state law requires utility companies to generate 10 percent of their electricity from wind, solar and hydroelectric dams by 2015. Creating a constitutional amendment requiring 25 percent renewable energy in 13 years could lead to disinvestment in coal power plants, resulting in the loss of union-wage jobs, said Pat Devlin, secretary-treasurer of the Michigan Building and Construction Trades Council.

Negotiations to remove the endorsement broke down Saturday, meaning the endorsement would need to be removed by amendment on the convention floor Sunday when the Democratic Party finalizes its 2012 platform, Devlin said.

“At the end of the day, if people look at what this renewable energy is, it’s not a dependable form of energy,” Devlin said. “We can’t run industry on this kind of thing.”

Mark Brewer, chairman of the Michigan Democratic Party, denies there’s a conflict in the party’s ranks over the issue.

“Our platform for years has endorsed a renewable energy standard,” Brewer said Saturday. “The national party this week endorsed an 80 percent standard by 2035. So there’s no conflict.”

The trade unions echo the sentiment of Consumers Power and DTE Energy that once the renewable energy mandate is in the constitution it would be politically difficult to amend.

“It would hamstring the utility companies from being able to take advantage of new technologies such as carbon sequestration or anything else that could come down the pike,” VanSlooten said.

While the construction unions were preparing for a floor fight over the issue, the Michigan Energy Michigan Jobs ballot campaign was working Saturday to persuade delegates to endorse their proposal along with two other labor-backed ballot initiatives.

“We understand that big utility companies have enormous influence and clout and give a lot of money to both parties, but there comes a time for Democrats to stand up to special interests and do what is right,” Fisk said.

Fearing they could alienate key labor union supporters, some of the Democratic Party’s top politicians are neutral on the issue.

House Minority Leader Richard Hammel, D-Mount Morris Township, said the 46-member Democratic caucus is split on the issue.

“We try to take positions in the caucus that are consistent with a big majority of the folks,” Hammel said. “And we just don’t have that on this.”

In southeast Michigan, Hammel said, “where DTE has a pretty strong presence, it’s kind of tough for folks” to support the ballot initiative.

“In other areas of the state, the issue is a good issue for them,” said Hammel, who is neutral. “DTE and Consumers and others are strong labor organizations with great pay and benefits. They’re good friends and have been good friends of ours for a long time. So I think each member will decide on their own individually.”

There’s also concern that if the Democratic Party endorses the renewable energy initiative, it could divert resources away from the Democratic Party’s other goals of passing a constitutional amendment ensuring collective bargaining rights, repealing the emergency manager law and winning three seats on the Michigan Supreme Court.

“It’s a laudable goal what they want to do, but you’re going to see Democrats focus on the Supreme Court and Protect Our Jobs and the emergency manager (referendum),” Wayne County Executive Robert Ficano said Saturday in an interview. “Resources are going to be scarce and they’re only going to go so far.”

Ficano, who has deep ties to labor unions, said he had no position on the renewable energy proposal.

U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow, who is facing re-election this fall against Republican Pete Hoekstra, supports the ballot initiative, spokesman Cullen Schwarz said.

From The Detroit News: http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20120908/POLITICS01/209080389#ixzz26q0xgouX

Solar Thermal Competition Heats Up in China

Solar Thermal Competition Heats Up in China

There is hot water coming from the sun too! Wow how the market has missed this is unknown to me, thermal hot water is one of the missing links to most solar home and commercial systems, the savings are large enough to take a second look.
Eric Luttio
 
By Bärbel Epp, Contributor
September 10, 2012   |   Post Your Comment

Jinan City, China – China’s “Big Four” solar thermal firms, with their vast distribution networks, are racing ahead of a fast-consolidating market.

On Saturday afternoon, when residents are likely to be at home, a truck carrying solar water heaters pulls up outside a new apartment block in Jinan city. As Linuo Paradigma’s sales team starts assembling the heaters, a crowd of curious onlookers gathers. Heating your showers with these is far cheaper than using gas or electricity, the salespeople tell their audience. By the time the truck leaves that evening, several contracts have already been signed.

For Zhanshen Cui, manager of the Jinan Branch of Linuo Paradigma, direct marketing can give a vital edge in an increasingly fierce tussle for sales. He runs six shops in Jinan, a city of six million in the coastal province of Shandong. Over a year, each outlet can sell about 1,600 systems. But competition is getting tough and sales targets cannot be met by staying in the shop.

Nationwide, Linuo Paradigma has 20,000 franchise shops, of which 1,600 are top partners, who are financially independent but must use the manufacturer’s logos and marketing material. Solar shops generally sell systems at prices set by the system supplier, ranging from RMB2500 to RMB6000 (US$390-$940). Discounts are set by the supplier’s central sales department and further rebates are forbidden. Installation is included in the fixed gross system price and must be covered by the shop owner’s margin.

Rapid consolidation in the industry

But franchisees have a compelling sales pitch. Solar water heaters are the cheapest way to heat domestic water. According to calculations from the Chinese Solar Thermal Industry Federation (CSTIF), over its lifetime, a solar water heater costs a family 3.5 times less than an electric water heater and 2.6 times less than a gas one.

This straightforward sell has enabled the Chinese solar water heater industry to grow to an enormous size. Solar research company The Sun’s Vision estimates that 2,800 companies — 1,600 assemblers and 1,200 suppliers — had a combined turnover of RMB73.5 billion ($11.5 billion) in 2010. Yet a tiny slice of these firms contributed almost all of this total. “We question around 300 [manufacturing] companies annually, which are responsible for 95 percent of the total annual sales volume,” said Hongzhi Cheng, who heads a 30-person team at The Sun’s Vision. “The other around 1300 solar water heater makers are negligible for overall market statistics, since they rise and disappear and they sell poor quality products.”

Rapid consolidation is also underway, he adds. Over recent years, the market share for the top 100 brands has rocketed from 40 percent up to 70 percent. Yunbin Li, deputy general manager at Linuo Paradigma and sales director for the Chinese market, estimates that 1,000 solar thermal companies have closed their doors in the last two years. “First, these companies do not have access to the fast growing solar project market and, second, the sales networks of the larger companies are getting tighter and tighter.”

Leading the market in both scale and growth are the “Big Four” firms: the Sunrain Group, the Linuo Group, Himin Solar and Sangle Solar. Each has a solar thermal business valued above RMB2 billion ($313 million) and all four are heavily committed to sales and marketing.

At Sunrain, for instance, salespeople outnumber production workers. At the end of 2011, the group’s 5298 staff included 2003 in sales and only 1914 in production. Regional sales teams help local distributors, although franchisees are ultimately responsible for achieving targets, said Chen Liang, marketing planner for international business development.

From 2009 to 2011, the Sunrain Goup’s turnover from solar water heating technology doubled from RMB1.54 billion ($241 million) to RMB3.1 billion ($485 million), according to a company profile published in February 2012. In 2009, as it celebrated its 10th anniversary, Sunrain formulated its “533100″ vision for the next five years. Each digit in the figure corresponds to one aspect of the firm’s target: that in five years it will have 30,000 direct employees, create 300,000 job opportunities along the value chain, and have tripled its annual turnover to RMB10 billion ($1.6 billion).

The group — which has two separate brands, Sunrain and Micoe — has already become the first solar water heater specialist listed on the stock market. After a protracted application process, it was listed at the end of May 2012. Cheng from The Sun’s Vision predicts that the government will only permit one other solar thermal heating firm — Himin — to join the Sunrain Group on the stock exchange.

Solar thermal firms target exports

The Chinese solar industry aims to raise its export business more than 12-fold over the next six years — up from $20 million to $250 million. Yet even $250 million would be only 2 percent of the industry’s estimated overall turnover.

Linuo Paradigma, which emerged from a joint venture between Germany’s Ritter Group and the Chinese Linuo Group 11 years ago, stands out with exports totalling 6-8 per cent of its turnover. Linuo Ritter International, set up in 2011, will offer the company’s entire product range worldwide, from non-pressurized thermosiphon systems for water heating through to complex large-scale solar thermal systems generating process heat. Twenty-five sales specialists now work at this new subsidiary, based in Jinan, and Linuo Paradigma already runs sales offices in both Germany and the U.S.

Himin claims an export share of less than 10 percent of its business turnover with about 20 staff in its export department. The firm’s key markets are Vietnam, Malaysia, South Korea, Australia and Germany. But so far the company only has sales offices in Malaysia and Vietnam. “We are planning a German and a Belgian sales office,” said Deputy General Manager Juiwei Wang.

But the Big Four complain about cutthroat competition for exports from the “around 100 Chinese solar thermal system suppliers with lower quality products”. The other obstacle to exports is the rising strength of the renminbi on international currency markets.”‘Since we mainly use U.S. dollars, most of our customers have asked us for discounts and the cost of the imported raw material is also increasing,” said Yongmei Xu, sales director of Linuo Ritter International. “Our profit ratio becomes less and less. The only way to work it out is to develop new products, which needs time and effort.”

Himin’s answer to the tighter market — nationally as well as internationally — is to become “a service provider for complete micro-emission solutions”, says Wang. The firm’s new Me Pad product range incorporates various clean energy technologies for customer groups such as households, hotels, schools or dormitories.

Precisely what lies behind these announcements will only emerge when the first projects are implemented. But if the Big Four invest as strongly in sales and marketing abroad as they have done in China, their export success is assured.

Bärbel Epp is the founder of Solrico, a market research agency focusing on solar thermal technology.